Conf = Big East ------ State = C
Mascot = Hoyas ------ Coach = Kevin WarneGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.7702942 home-field advantage = -0.97 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 A Penn Ivy ( 7- 6, 95.2) 12- 9 222 A Notre Dame ACC (12- 2, 99.9) 9-15 228 H Ohio State B1G (10- 4, 95.5) 9-10 307 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (14- 2, 98.5) 10-14 310 H Albany America East (11- 6, 92.6) 16- 8 317 A Loyola Patriot (10- 6, 93.9) 14- 7 322 A Syracuse ACC (13- 5, 98.4) 12-18 328 A Denver Big East ( 6- 8, 94.4) 17- 5 404 A Providence Big East ( 8- 9, 92.3) 15- 8 411 H Marquette Big East ( 6- 7, 91.3) 17- 7 418 H St Johns (NY) Big East ( 2-12, 87.6) 18-11 424 A Villanova Big East ( 6- 8, 92.6) 9- 6 430 N Denver Big East ( 6- 8, 94.4) 11- 8 502 A Providence Big East ( 8- 9, 92.3) 14- 6 510 A Virginia ACC (10- 7, 98.0) 14-10 517 N Duke ACC (11- 4, 99.1) 6-16
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Penn 12- 9 3 1 1.64 222 A Notre Dame 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.64 228 H Ohio State 9-10 -1 3 -- -4.01 307 A Richmond 10-14 -4 -1 - -2.00 310 H Albany 16- 8 8 5 1.16 317 A Loyola 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.41 322 A Syracuse 12-18 -6 -1 -- -4.17 328 A Denver 17- 5 12 2 ++ 4.89 404 A Providence 15- 8 7 4 + 2.78 411 H Marquette 17- 7 10 7 0.00 418 H St Johns (NY) 18-11 7 10 0.00 424 A Villanova 9- 6 3 3 -0.91 430 N Denver 11- 8 3 3 -0.08 502 A Providence 14- 6 8 4 + 2.78 510 A Virginia 14-10 4 -1 ++ 5.46 517 N Duke 6-16 -10 -1 -- -5.41UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Ohio State 9-10 -1 3 -- -4.01 322 A Syracuse 12-18 -6 -1 -- -4.17 517 N Duke 6-16 -10 -1 -- -5.41 222 A Notre Dame 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.64 307 A Richmond 10-14 -4 -1 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Loyola 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.41 328 A Denver 17- 5 12 2 ++ 4.89 510 A Virginia 14-10 4 -1 ++ 5.46 404 A Providence 15- 8 7 4 + 2.78 502 A Providence 14- 6 8 4 + 2.78
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 97.51 Power Rank................. 10 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 87.59 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 15 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6575 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 13 RPI Rating............... .6087 RPI Rank................... 11 Champ. Probability ...... 2.2 Championship Rank ......... 11 Selection sum ........... 35 Selection Rank ............ 11 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 30. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 11 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 35. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 11 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 8.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7